Malaysia 2012 Budget - Nothing Much for Personal Finance

It seems to me nothing much from a personal finance perspective. Anyway, let's go through it which I think maybe useful to you personally...


(1) Exemption of Import Duty For Hybrid & Electric Cars

This is from the previous year and will be continue until 2013. I'm not sure if this is a good thing because the net spending in not decreasing if you buy hybrid & electric cars. So, think twice if you really want to go for Hybrid & Electric cars.


(2) Free Primary & Secondary Education Fees

I do not aware that we need to pay for primary & secondary education fees. All the while, I thought that is free! :) Perhaps I'm wrong now.  How much exactly is being save here? Anyone knows?


(3) RM500 for Households Monthly Income Less Than RM3K

It is one time payment. So monthly, you will have RM  41.67. Alright, this is still better than nothing especially if you have low income household. Besides that, there will be one-off RM100 schooling assistance for primary and secondary schools(up to form 5) and also one-off RM200 book voucher for private & public tertiary institution and form 6 as well.


(4) Additional Bonus for Civil Servants and Pensioners.

There will be 1/2 month bonus for all civil servants and RM500 bonus for all pensioners. Bonus to be paid by December 2012. This sounds good for civil servants.


(5) Increase to 10% for  Real Property Gains Tax.

Real Property Gains Tax (RPGT) will be increased to 10% from 5% if the property is sold within 2 years. The 5% remains as previously - if the property is sold between 2 to 5 years, there will be 5% RPGT and nil for 5 years and above. This may not be good for speculator but if you really want to sell, just wait for 2 years. Property investment is meant for long term anyway, in my opinion.

Sharing: Do you know the RPGT used to be 30% before 2010? Then later it was then revised to 5%. It seems to me the forming of property bubble is somehow indirectly caused by the government.  Don't you think so? Now, they're fixing it?


(6) Some other stuff...

• Retirement ages increases to 60 from 58 for civil servants. 
• Free Papilloma Virus immunization for cervical cancer prevention.
• EPF increases to 13% for Employer Contribution but that is only for those earning below RM5K.

Summary

Well, what? As usual, there is no beneficial to me at all. It is worst than last year! That's why I think this round for Malaysia 2012 budget is really nothing much at least to myself. Is that the reason why many of us are migrating to other countries? 

If you are civil servants and have low income household, this budget will be beneficial to you. Hope you can enjoy this benefits. If you wonder what are the previous years Malaysia budget, you can visit the following links:

• Malaysia 2011 Budget - Personal Finance Highlights
• Malaysia 2010 Budget - What should I do with it?

P/S: If I missed out any key items, feel free to share....

What Does GDP Growth Mean to You?

GDP stands for Gross Domestic Product. It represents the total value in the respective country currency of all goods and services produced over a specific time period. GDP is calculated will not be discuss here because that is kind of complicated. We will let those economist to do their job. What really important about GDP is, it help investor to tell how well a country is doing or how healthy is the economy.

GDP is usually expressed as a comparison to the previous GDP value in percentage. That is called “GDP Growth Rate”. It is either based on yearly or quarterly. For example 3% GDP growth rates in 2010 means the economy grows by 3% as compared to 2009. On the other hand, –3% GDP growth rates means the economy declines by 3%


What is recession?

When GDP growth rate is negative for 2 or more consecutive quarters, economist calls that as “Recession”. Let’s look at Malaysia GDP growth rate below, we’re having recession in the early of 2009.

Source: www.tradingeconomics.com 

(You can also get the GDP data for your country here) 

Now, let’s look at the KLCI index below. Do you see the similar trend with the GDP growth rate?

It basically tells you that when recession happens, stock market crashes. Usually significant change in GDP growth rate will affect on the stock market. Investor look at the GDP data very closely to understand the current economy situation and then react to their investment’


Discussion

Given all these high-level explanation of GDP, what is your take away? For me,  I use the GDP growth rate as a recession detector. When recession happens (i.e. 2 consecutive negative GDP growth rate), I will quickly withdraw my investments and then watch out the GDP growth rate very closely when the economy will recovered. When it happens or when I think when it will happen (i.e. economy start to recover), I will start investing again. :)

P/S: For most updated Malaysia GDP report, you can refer to www.statistics.gov.my.

4 Stages of Stock Market Cycle - So What?

I just read around and I found this 4 stages of stock market cycle by Stan Weinstein. It basically means no matter how the stock will look like, it can never go out of these 4 stages. These 4 stages are very powerful because it can apply to all time frames whether it is 1 day, 1 month, 1 quarter, 1 year or 5 years. Powerful or not? Also, it will be repeated over and over again. For example it goes back to stage 1 from stage 4. Now let’s look at what are these 4 stages about:

Stage 1: Consolidation & Accumulation

This is also called base building stage or a depression stage. Basically, It is the most bottom point of the stock market cycle where majority of investors have lost confidence at this stage and are reluctant to invest their money in stock market. Smart investors at his point are waiting to use their reserved cash to start investing when it starts moving to Stage 2.


Stage 2: Uptrend &  Mark-up

This is also called the expansion stage or mark-up stage. At this stage, the stock has been stable for a while and starts to climb up. Novice or inexperienced investors are still hesitant to get in because they are still haven’t recovered from the stage 1. Smart investor will start investing at the early of stage 2 as shown in the graph.


Stage 3: Distribution & Peak

This is the stage where you can hear all the good news and the economy seems like it has never been better. At this stage, most novice or inexperienced investors jump into stock market because they think the prices will go even higher. This is exactly what happened to me when I owned an US stock with USD100 price in year 2000. I was still expecting it will go even higher! Smart investor at this stage are getting ready to exit.


Stage 4: Downtrend & Mark-down

This is a declining stage but nobody believes the downtrend especially at the early stage. They believe the downtrend is just a correction and it will go up pretty soon. On the other hand, smart investors have mostly taken profits and sold all their shares causing the share prices to drop. Novice investors will either take losses or turn to long-term hold if they reluctant to sell.

Note: These 4 stages of stock cycles are always correct because it is based law of nature. What is the law of nature? The law of nature is: what goes up must come down, what goes down must come up. So no matter what, the 4 stages are always correct!


SO WHAT?

So what? You may ask because no one will know exactly which stage they are in and this makes the whole thing pointless. Basically you still do not know when is your best time for buying and selling. The purpose of this article is to let you know there are these 4" stages. What you need to do next is how to identify or at least to make your best guess to identify where you are in this 4 stages based on whatever data that you have.

P/S: A technique called “Technical Analysis" is one of the ways you can predict the future based on the past historical data. However, I have not used or researched on technical analysis yet. So for those who have used technical analysis before for your stock investment, what do you think of this technique? Can technical analysis predict the future or at least help you to make a right investment decision?

Single People Need Budgets Too

Many financial experts highly recommend a household budget in order to keep family spending and savings goals on track. It makes sense that proper money management for a household is a necessity to ensure financial security for all family members. For those who do not yet have families, it is equally important to establish a budget to prepare for the future as well as survive day to day, especially when single individuals are just starting out on their own, financially independent from their parents.

Why Singles Need Budgets

Overspending income is the reason why so many people are facing debt problems. With a budget you can properly account for where all of your money goes on a weekly or monthly basis. Without a budget, it can be all too easy to spend cash as a single person because outside of basic financial obligations, there are likely no other responsibilities to tend to such as children who need things or spouse who should have a say in money matters.

As a single person without a budget, it is also easy to lose sight of the big picture. Spending what you earn as you earn it leaves little room for saving for the future or building a truly solid financial foundation.


How to Start a Single Person Budget

A budget is simple to get started. Sticking with the methods is what gets many people who end up ceasing their good financial habits. It makes sense to develop a simple budget that allows you to make simple entries that doesn’t waste time. A weekly review of a budget is all it really takes to ensure you are on target.

Developing a budget requires that you gather all of your financial obligations for a month including utility bills, credit card bills, mortgage or rental payments, and any other monthly expense paid out on a regular basis. You will also need to gather your income statements so you know how much you bring home each month.

These amounts along with the creditors who receive your monthly payment should then be listed on a personal budget worksheet. Once all of the information is entered, the total amount of expenses should be deducted from the total amount of income. If the difference is negative, it is a clear sign that you need to make cuts to your budget or find a way to earn more money. If there is an overage, the funds that are ‘left over’ each month should be allocated into a proper savings account for emergency situations, vacations, or retirement.

In addition to the compilation of expenses and income, single consumers should also take a solid month to track the money they are spending and where they are spending it. This is for all expenses outside of regular financial obligations, including coffee stops, dining out, and transportation-related expenses. By tracking every penny spent in a month’s time, you are able to develop a more accurate budgeting system and as a result, establish a much more solid and reliable financial foundation for the future.

This is a guest post by Tisha Tolar.

Understand Market Trend Before You Trade - NASDAQ and KLCI

If you have no idea what is stock at all, I suggest you read the following first: Stock Market 101: Understand How Stocks Get Started.

To be successful in stock investing, the first thing that you want to do is to analyze the entire stock market as whole and learn how the majority investors behave in the stock market. The stock market index is the indicator to tell you how the market moves. It represent everyone present in the market place. :D

I personally invest in US stock and Malaysia stock market. So 2 stock market indices that I"m interested are Nasdaq Composite Index and KLCI.. The following charts show the 1 year histrory trend.
 

KLCI - FTSE Bursa Malaysia Large 30 Index

KLCI comprises of 30 largest companies in Malaysia with approximately 70% of the total market capitalization of the FTSE Bursa Malaysia 100 Index.

Nasdaq Composite Index


Nasdaq Composite Index comprise of over 4000 innovative and fast growing technology companies in United States of America.

Note: What I like about this chart is when you click on it, it shows you the technical analysis of the chart. You can then perform the "Technical Analysis" on those chart. Basically technical analysis helps you to make investment decisions based on the study of charts rather than the stock fundamental. Interesting isn't it? But this is still something new to me but I will share with you more later on once I"m familiar with it. :)

What I don't like about this chart is only able to display up to 1 year trend. To view more than 1 year trend, you will have to use Yahoo Finance.  But Yahoo doesn't have a way to embed the stock chart in a website or blog.If you know, feel free to share with me.

P/S: What about you? There are lot of stock market indices out there. Which market index do you refer?

4 Steps to Set Your Investment Goals

Some people just feel lost in investment especially when they start investing in stock or when they don’t make a lot of money out of their investments. They will start wondering, what the hell am I doing here? This is all because of they don’t set clear investment goals.

When you do not have investment goals, you basically do not have measure of success.. When you do not have the measure of success, you do not know whether you’re at the right track. When you do do know whether you’re at the right there, you do not take actions (e.g. sell your stocks or mutual funds) and lastly you are lost because you simply do not know what to do. So, I hope this makes sense to you that why you must have investment goals for each investment that you make.

Let’s look at the following 4 steps on how you can set your investment goal. Check it out…


Step 1: Identify Your Personal Inflation Rate – X%

Well, before you even start thinking about setting your investment goals, you must first understand one of the most important elements in investing is to protect yourself from inflation killer.  Thus, it is important to identify your personal inflation rate before you start investing. Let’s look at my previous article how you should get your own personal inflation rate rather than the reported inflation rate by your government:

• How can I get most update inflation rate?

You identify this as X% and don’t be surprise if your personal inflation rate is a lot higher than the reported national inflation rate especially if you’re a big spender. The chances this will happen is high too if you keep earning more and more every years. 


Step 2: Identify Your Safest & Highest ROI – Y%

Your safest ROI could be your saving, fixed deposit (i.e. FD), or your retirement saving fund such as EPF in Malaysia, CPF in Singapore or 401(K) plan in United State.  I don’t know what the rest of the countries call this. :) Usually the retirement saving fund (e.g. the EPF) has the highest ROI as compared to your FD or your savings. You identify this as Y%


Step 3: Identify Your Minimum Investment Goal – Z%

Once you have identified X% and Y%, your minimum investment goal that you set should be based on which one has the highest %. For example, if your Y% > X%,  you minimum investment goal should be Y%. Hopefully your X% is less than Y%. If that doesn’t happen, you may want consider to change your lifestyle. If you don’t want to, that’s fine too. Then your minimum investment goal should be Y%. In short, Z% = MAX(X%, Y%). Hope this is not too engineering for you… :)


Step 4: Set Your Investment Goals

This is the final step is to set your investment goal after you have identified Z%. Basically, there are 2 types of goals that you can set. One is normal and another one stretch investment goals. If you achieve your stretch investment goal, you have basically exceeded expectation. Sound something familiar like your focal? Hahaha…

Well, no hard rules how you want to set the investment goal as long as you make sure it is > Z% but this is what I think normal and stench investment goals should be:

Normal Investment Goal  = 2Z% (2 times of Z%)

Stretch Investments Goal = 3Z% (3 times of Z%)

Note: Z% is your mininimun investment goal.

Let’s take myself as an example. If my Z% = 6% (based on the latest EPF data in 2010) , my normal investment goal will be 12% ROI. If my actual ROI is 12%, I’m meeting my goal. However, what if my ROI is > 18%? I’m basically exceeding my investment goal because I”m achieving my stretch goal.  In order to meet these goals, I"m investing in mutual fund or unit trust, stock, gold, property and etc.

This is how my investment goals look like. So whatever I invest in mutual fund/unit trust, stock, gold, property and etc, my measure of success is based on 2Z% and 3Z%. What about you? If you don’t have any investment goal, probably you can start having one now…


Summary

What do you think of my formula? Sounds reasonable or unreasonable to you? If not, what do you think how one should set their investment goals? As mentioned before, setting investment goal is essential which as important as that you need to have clear financial goal. Without goals, you do not know your direction. In this article, I show you 4 simple steps how you can set your investment goals for both normal and stretch goals. Of course, you can define your own formula. Good luck!

P/S: Hope this is something useful to you guys. I”m going to take vacation off in 4 more days and will not be blogging for about 2 weeks. Yeah! Feel free to comment on this article and hopefully I can get back to you before my vacation. :)

Refinancing Your Mortgage: What You Should Know Before You Do

Refinancing your mortgage may seem like a godsend at the moment, but before you jump in headfirst, there are some things you should know. For instance, are you prepared to shop around with at least three different lenders and three different title companies? Even though you might do less paperwork with your current lender, others might be able to offer you better rates, so it's definitely worth checking them out.

Here are some of the other things you should think about with a refinance.


There may be extra fees involved

All too often homeowners get caught up in that one little number – the interest rate. Sure, a drop of a half a percentage or more can save you big bucks on your monthly payment and on the total interest you'll pay for your home. However, you have to remember that refinancing comes with some of the same fees involved in buying a home originally, so the interest rate change may not end up saving you all that much after all.

Another thing to consider is something plaguing homeowners today: do you owe more on your home than it's worth? A high loan-to-value ratio these days can mean extra fees for your refinance, as the company doing your refinance has to protect itself, too. You might even end up paying private mortgage insurance, which can increase your monthly payment by $100 or more a month.

So, before you refinance, make sure you look at all the numbers and take everything into account. Unless you're getting significant interest rate savings, the refinance may not save you that much money after all.


You could tack more years onto your mortgage

Another thing to consider with a refinance is what loan term you'll use for the refinanced loan. Many homeowners who have been in their homes for five years or more take out another thirty year loan, not considering that it will be yet another five years before they pay off the house. Thirty-five years is a long time to be paying on one home!

In some cases, a longer-term mortgage may make sense, especially if the lower monthly payments mean keeping your home instead of going into foreclosure. In some cases, it may be in your best interest to pay extra on another thirty year mortgage, which will pay it off earlier and save you money. However, in many cases, it's better to take out a shorter-term loan – like a fifteen or twenty year – depending on how much you have left to pay off after the refinance.

Just keep in mind that by taking out another thirty year loan, it will take you some time to get traction in your mortgage and start paying off the principle significantly, so this is really only a good option if you plan to stay in your home for a while.


Find your break-even point

The best way to determine whether or not a particular mortgage deal is a good one for you is to find your break-even point. This is the point at which the extra costs of refinancing will break even for you. If you plan to be in your home through or well past your break-even point, then a refinance could be a good option for you. If not, though, it's probably better to hold off and just sell the house when you're ready.

There are plenty of great online calculators that will help you determine your break-even point with the best refinancing deal you can find.


Keep your credit score up during the refinance

Finally, just like when you're buying a house, when you're refinancing, you need to be sure that your credit score stays up the entire time – until your rates are actually locked in. Most lenders will quote you a rate at the outset of the refinancing process but will check your credit score again before locking in that rate.

One of the best ways to keep your credit score high during a refinance is to cut back on credit card usage. Use your cards responsibly, and pay off new balances every month. If you can, try to pay down your balances a little, too, so that your credit score is even a little higher at the end of the refinancing process than it was at the beginning!

This is a guest post by Katheryne Taylor.